TheLion Stock Roars Report
"The Report with Solid Ideas Behind It"
September 5, 2001
Dow 10033.27 +35.78 (+0.36%) Nasdaq 1759.01 -11.77 (-0.66%)
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By TheLion Staff:
Market Ideas for 9/5/2001
1) Dow and Nasdaq took it up the chin during the earning morning sell-off followed by momentum buying in the bluechips, networking, and chips front. Techs spooked early by Cisco Chamber's comment about industry consolidation. Words get out that perhaps over 30% of the tech companies in NAZ 100 index will not be around in another 3 years. Traders took the call to mean massive tech bankruptcies out in the horizon. Sure most of these tech companies will still be around. HP buying Compaq business is one such example how consolidation can work in the long-run. The market idea here is companies will more likely to exhibit "monopolistic" pricing power, more cost controls, therefore, higher margins and earnings ahead.
2) Several rumors of large tech mutual funds will be forced to liquidate their portfolios per CNBC report, now isn't it ironic that just a year and half ago several large hedge funds that shorted tech and internet stocks during the tech boom years had to liquidate in order to stay afloat. The infamous Tiger Hedge Fund ran by Nobel prize economists folded around that time after posting double digit losses in 1999. The market idea here is tech stock supply and demand. If mutual funds are already out of tech stocks, this is where cherry pickings come in. This may present itself as a nice market bottom here to add into your tech positions.
Stock Ideas for 9/5/2001
1) Manugistics (MANU) trading down AH on earnings warning, stock is currently trading off 30% at $7.30 After-hours. MANU is selling at 2x sales, earnings will be off quite considerably, consider MANU is already discounted heavily last few trading days, while competitor Peoplesoft (PSFT) is trading at 5x trailing sales.
2) Broadvision (BVSN) has 14 consecutive down days, we are witnessing large accumulation on our radar screens last two trading days, believe BVSN is forming a bottom here, presents itself a nice little buying opportunity here. Company official will speak at a major Tech conference Thursday afternoon, a short-term confidence boost.
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